Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a minimum near 8–9 °C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, yet trader consensus heavily favors 3–4 °C. Clear nocturnal conditions and modest humidity are enabling stronger radiational cooling than earlier model runs projected, while any further reduction in cloud cover or wind could push readings toward the 2 °C threshold. Historical August lows in Buenos Aires average near 7 °C, so current positioning reflects uncertainty over whether boundary-layer decoupling will intensify enough overnight to reach the tightly contested 3–4 °C range before official observations close the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 29. August?
2°C oder weniger 64%
4°C 47%
3°C 41%
5°C <1%
2°C oder weniger
64%
3°C
41%
4°C
47%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C oder höher
<1%
2°C oder weniger 64%
4°C 47%
3°C 41%
5°C <1%
2°C oder weniger
64%
3°C
41%
4°C
47%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a minimum near 8–9 °C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, yet trader consensus heavily favors 3–4 °C. Clear nocturnal conditions and modest humidity are enabling stronger radiational cooling than earlier model runs projected, while any further reduction in cloud cover or wind could push readings toward the 2 °C threshold. Historical August lows in Buenos Aires average near 7 °C, so current positioning reflects uncertainty over whether boundary-layer decoupling will intensify enough overnight to reach the tightly contested 3–4 °C range before official observations close the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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