Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo will experience cloudy conditions with scattered showers on August 29 under northeast flow, moderating temperatures after recent highs near 32–33°C. Model consensus and ensemble guidance point to a daily maximum in the 26–29°C range, with cloud cover and precipitation timing as the main variables limiting peak heating. This reflects the influence of an autumn rain front pattern suppressing insolation compared to typical late-August climatology near 31°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes aligns with this narrow spread, while lower-probability extremes hinge on whether breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming or heavier rain arrives earlier. Updated JMA guidance and observational data tomorrow will determine the precise maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 29. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 29. August?
27°C 37%
28°C 27%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
NEU
$11,814 Vol.
NEU
$11,814 Vol.
29. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
15%
27°C
37%
28°C
27%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
28°C 27%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
NEU
$11,814 Vol.
NEU
$11,814 Vol.
29. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$1,251 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$598 Vol.
1%
25°C
$411 Vol.
6%
26°C
$2,632 Vol.
15%
27°C
$1,371 Vol.
37%
28°C
$1,249 Vol.
27%
29°C
$1,636 Vol.
8%
30°C
$888 Vol.
3%
31°C
$115 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$473 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo will experience cloudy conditions with scattered showers on August 29 under northeast flow, moderating temperatures after recent highs near 32–33°C. Model consensus and ensemble guidance point to a daily maximum in the 26–29°C range, with cloud cover and precipitation timing as the main variables limiting peak heating. This reflects the influence of an autumn rain front pattern suppressing insolation compared to typical late-August climatology near 31°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes aligns with this narrow spread, while lower-probability extremes hinge on whether breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming or heavier rain arrives earlier. Updated JMA guidance and observational data tomorrow will determine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$11,814Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo will experience cloudy conditions with scattered showers on August 29 under northeast flow, moderating temperatures after recent highs near 32–33°C. Model consensus and ensemble guidance point to a daily maximum in the 26–29°C range, with cloud cover and precipitation timing as the main variables limiting peak heating. This reflects the influence of an autumn rain front pattern suppressing insolation compared to typical late-August climatology near 31°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes aligns with this narrow spread, while lower-probability extremes hinge on whether breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming or heavier rain arrives earlier. Updated JMA guidance and observational data tomorrow will determine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,814Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo will experience cloudy conditions with scattered showers on August 29 under northeast flow, moderating temperatures after recent highs near 32–33°C. Model consensus and ensemble guidance point to a daily maximum in the 26–29°C range, with cloud cover and precipitation timing as the main variables limiting peak heating. This reflects the influence of an autumn rain front pattern suppressing insolation compared to typical late-August climatology near 31°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes aligns with this narrow spread, while lower-probability extremes hinge on whether breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming or heavier rain arrives earlier. Updated JMA guidance and observational data tomorrow will determine the precise maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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