Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 29–32°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Trader consensus favoring 31°C at 32.5% reflects recent ensemble runs showing brief afternoon breaks in clouds potentially allowing peaks near that level, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below stem from expected rain suppression of daytime maxima. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity, steering winds from the southwest, and any shifts in monsoon or tropical moisture patterns; updated forecasts and observational data in the next 24 hours could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 30. August?
31°C 33%
30°C 20%
32°C 19%
29°C 15%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
15%
30°C
20%
31°C
33%
32°C
19%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 33%
30°C 20%
32°C 19%
29°C 15%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
$450 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$804 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$301 Vol.
1%
28°C
$161 Vol.
3%
29°C
$518 Vol.
15%
30°C
$361 Vol.
20%
31°C
$256 Vol.
33%
32°C
$626 Vol.
19%
33°C
$361 Vol.
7%
34°C
$210 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$118 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 29–32°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Trader consensus favoring 31°C at 32.5% reflects recent ensemble runs showing brief afternoon breaks in clouds potentially allowing peaks near that level, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below stem from expected rain suppression of daytime maxima. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity, steering winds from the southwest, and any shifts in monsoon or tropical moisture patterns; updated forecasts and observational data in the next 24 hours could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$4,167Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 29–32°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Trader consensus favoring 31°C at 32.5% reflects recent ensemble runs showing brief afternoon breaks in clouds potentially allowing peaks near that level, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below stem from expected rain suppression of daytime maxima. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity, steering winds from the southwest, and any shifts in monsoon or tropical moisture patterns; updated forecasts and observational data in the next 24 hours could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,167Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies point to a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 29–32°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Trader consensus favoring 31°C at 32.5% reflects recent ensemble runs showing brief afternoon breaks in clouds potentially allowing peaks near that level, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below stem from expected rain suppression of daytime maxima. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity, steering winds from the southwest, and any shifts in monsoon or tropical moisture patterns; updated forecasts and observational data in the next 24 hours could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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