Forecast models from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international agencies show a narrow range of possible highs for Mexico City on August 30, centered on 24–26 °C amid the ongoing rainy season. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected through the afternoon will reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, limiting peak temperatures while steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that band. Historical August climatology places the average high near 24 °C, providing context for the tight market split between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official midday guidance on convective development remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 30. August?
24°C 37%
25°C 37%
26°C oder höher 15%
23°C 12%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
37%
25°C
37%
26°C oder höher
15%
24°C 37%
25°C 37%
26°C oder höher 15%
23°C 12%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
16°C oder weniger
$158 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$19 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$167 Vol.
1%
21°C
$97 Vol.
2%
22°C
$12 Vol.
4%
23°C
$94 Vol.
12%
24°C
$54 Vol.
37%
25°C
$213 Vol.
37%
26°C oder höher
$34 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international agencies show a narrow range of possible highs for Mexico City on August 30, centered on 24–26 °C amid the ongoing rainy season. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected through the afternoon will reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, limiting peak temperatures while steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that band. Historical August climatology places the average high near 24 °C, providing context for the tight market split between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official midday guidance on convective development remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volumen
$1,229Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international agencies show a narrow range of possible highs for Mexico City on August 30, centered on 24–26 °C amid the ongoing rainy season. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected through the afternoon will reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, limiting peak temperatures while steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that band. Historical August climatology places the average high near 24 °C, providing context for the tight market split between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official midday guidance on convective development remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,229Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international agencies show a narrow range of possible highs for Mexico City on August 30, centered on 24–26 °C amid the ongoing rainy season. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms expected through the afternoon will reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, limiting peak temperatures while steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that band. Historical August climatology places the average high near 24 °C, providing context for the tight market split between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official midday guidance on convective development remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before markets close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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