Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a 28–33°C range for August 29 under weak west-to-southwest winds, mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and thunderstorms early, plus sunny intervals that support daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C over lower or higher outcomes stems from these conditions, where variable cloud cover, shower timing, and insolation determine the precise maximum. High humidity (65–95%) and regional low-pressure influences limit extreme outliers, while late-August climatology and an emerging El Niño backdrop support above-normal warmth. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the peak amid these uncertainties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 29. August?
32°C 35%
33°C 35%
31°C 18%
34°C 11%
$14,273 Vol.
$14,273 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
18%
32°C
35%
33°C
35%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
33°C 35%
31°C 18%
34°C 11%
$14,273 Vol.
$14,273 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
18%
32°C
35%
33°C
35%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a 28–33°C range for August 29 under weak west-to-southwest winds, mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and thunderstorms early, plus sunny intervals that support daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C over lower or higher outcomes stems from these conditions, where variable cloud cover, shower timing, and insolation determine the precise maximum. High humidity (65–95%) and regional low-pressure influences limit extreme outliers, while late-August climatology and an emerging El Niño backdrop support above-normal warmth. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the peak amid these uncertainties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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