Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum of 20–22°C in Moscow on August 30 under variable cloudiness, light southerly winds, and possible scattered showers. These conditions moderate daytime heating while southerly flow supplies milder air masses, producing the tight clustering around 20°C and 21°C in trader pricing. Ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in cloud cover and precipitation timing that could nudge the peak one degree higher or lower. With resolution hinging on the single highest official reading, the market-implied odds capture this narrow range of plausible outcomes two days out.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 30. August?
20°C 28%
21°C 26%
22°C 17%
19°C 12%
16°C or below
5%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
12%
20°C
28%
21°C
26%
22°C
17%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
6%
20°C 28%
21°C 26%
22°C 17%
19°C 12%
16°C or below
5%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
12%
20°C
28%
21°C
26%
22°C
17%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum of 20–22°C in Moscow on August 30 under variable cloudiness, light southerly winds, and possible scattered showers. These conditions moderate daytime heating while southerly flow supplies milder air masses, producing the tight clustering around 20°C and 21°C in trader pricing. Ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in cloud cover and precipitation timing that could nudge the peak one degree higher or lower. With resolution hinging on the single highest official reading, the market-implied odds capture this narrow range of plausible outcomes two days out.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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