Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, promoting clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating in the Po Valley. This setup supports an afternoon maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on August 30, consistent with late-summer climatology and recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability. Official observations will come from Milan’s primary weather station, where the daily high is recorded under standard 2-meter shelter conditions. The market’s heavy weighting toward 30°C (51.5%) and 31°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus around this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers given the absence of significant advection or cloud cover that could alter peak temperatures. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this central tendency ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 30. August?
30°C 52%
31°C 19%
29°C 15%
32°C 5.8%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
52%
31°C
19%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 52%
31°C 19%
29°C 15%
32°C 5.8%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$1,646 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$364 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$181 Vol.
3%
28°C
$181 Vol.
5%
29°C
$2,188 Vol.
15%
30°C
$1,367 Vol.
52%
31°C
$1,232 Vol.
19%
32°C
$527 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$312 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, promoting clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating in the Po Valley. This setup supports an afternoon maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on August 30, consistent with late-summer climatology and recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability. Official observations will come from Milan’s primary weather station, where the daily high is recorded under standard 2-meter shelter conditions. The market’s heavy weighting toward 30°C (51.5%) and 31°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus around this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers given the absence of significant advection or cloud cover that could alter peak temperatures. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this central tendency ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,781Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, promoting clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating in the Po Valley. This setup supports an afternoon maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on August 30, consistent with late-summer climatology and recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability. Official observations will come from Milan’s primary weather station, where the daily high is recorded under standard 2-meter shelter conditions. The market’s heavy weighting toward 30°C (51.5%) and 31°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus around this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers given the absence of significant advection or cloud cover that could alter peak temperatures. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this central tendency ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,781Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, promoting clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating in the Po Valley. This setup supports an afternoon maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on August 30, consistent with late-summer climatology and recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability. Official observations will come from Milan’s primary weather station, where the daily high is recorded under standard 2-meter shelter conditions. The market’s heavy weighting toward 30°C (51.5%) and 31°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus around this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers given the absence of significant advection or cloud cover that could alter peak temperatures. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this central tendency ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen