Recent forecasts from ECMWF, Met Office, and KNMI-aligned models indicate unsettled southwesterly flow across the Netherlands will limit daytime heating on August 31, with Amsterdam highs most likely reaching 18–21 °C amid widespread showers and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation, keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of ~21 °C. Model consensus remains tight for this short-range period, with little spread suggesting a significant warm anomaly. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to bins around 19–20 °C, reflecting both the current synoptic pattern and the low likelihood of clear, stable conditions that would allow temperatures to exceed 23 °C. Updated model runs tonight will further refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 31. August?
20°C 42%
19°C 25%
21°C 17%
17°C 15%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
14°C oder niedriger
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
15%
18°C
11%
19°C
25%
20°C
42%
21°C
17%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C oder höher
1%
20°C 42%
19°C 25%
21°C 17%
17°C 15%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
14°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$44 Vol.
1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
15%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$39 Vol.
42%
21°C
$10 Vol.
17%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from ECMWF, Met Office, and KNMI-aligned models indicate unsettled southwesterly flow across the Netherlands will limit daytime heating on August 31, with Amsterdam highs most likely reaching 18–21 °C amid widespread showers and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation, keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of ~21 °C. Model consensus remains tight for this short-range period, with little spread suggesting a significant warm anomaly. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to bins around 19–20 °C, reflecting both the current synoptic pattern and the low likelihood of clear, stable conditions that would allow temperatures to exceed 23 °C. Updated model runs tonight will further refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$93Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from ECMWF, Met Office, and KNMI-aligned models indicate unsettled southwesterly flow across the Netherlands will limit daytime heating on August 31, with Amsterdam highs most likely reaching 18–21 °C amid widespread showers and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation, keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of ~21 °C. Model consensus remains tight for this short-range period, with little spread suggesting a significant warm anomaly. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to bins around 19–20 °C, reflecting both the current synoptic pattern and the low likelihood of clear, stable conditions that would allow temperatures to exceed 23 °C. Updated model runs tonight will further refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$93Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from ECMWF, Met Office, and KNMI-aligned models indicate unsettled southwesterly flow across the Netherlands will limit daytime heating on August 31, with Amsterdam highs most likely reaching 18–21 °C amid widespread showers and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation, keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of ~21 °C. Model consensus remains tight for this short-range period, with little spread suggesting a significant warm anomaly. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to bins around 19–20 °C, reflecting both the current synoptic pattern and the low likelihood of clear, stable conditions that would allow temperatures to exceed 23 °C. Updated model runs tonight will further refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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