Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF runs points to mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds over Milan on August 31, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 31°C. High-pressure dominance with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk (under 10% in most guidance) allows efficient solar insolation during peak afternoon hours, consistent with late-August Po Valley climatology where clear conditions often push maxima 2–4°C above seasonal norms around 28–29°C. Latest deterministic outputs cluster between 30–32°C, with ensemble spreads indicating limited upside beyond 32°C due to modest dew points and no strong warm advection. This setup explains the market’s heavy weighting on 30–31°C outcomes as traders incorporate the latest stable forecast guidance ahead of final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 31. August?
31°C 55%
30°C 35%
32°C 7%
29°C 5%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
35%
31°C
55%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 55%
30°C 35%
32°C 7%
29°C 5%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$1,184 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$402 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$114 Vol.
3%
29°C
$301 Vol.
5%
30°C
$297 Vol.
35%
31°C
$1,359 Vol.
55%
32°C
$130 Vol.
7%
33°C
$119 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$75 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF runs points to mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds over Milan on August 31, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 31°C. High-pressure dominance with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk (under 10% in most guidance) allows efficient solar insolation during peak afternoon hours, consistent with late-August Po Valley climatology where clear conditions often push maxima 2–4°C above seasonal norms around 28–29°C. Latest deterministic outputs cluster between 30–32°C, with ensemble spreads indicating limited upside beyond 32°C due to modest dew points and no strong warm advection. This setup explains the market’s heavy weighting on 30–31°C outcomes as traders incorporate the latest stable forecast guidance ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$4,323Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF runs points to mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds over Milan on August 31, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 31°C. High-pressure dominance with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk (under 10% in most guidance) allows efficient solar insolation during peak afternoon hours, consistent with late-August Po Valley climatology where clear conditions often push maxima 2–4°C above seasonal norms around 28–29°C. Latest deterministic outputs cluster between 30–32°C, with ensemble spreads indicating limited upside beyond 32°C due to modest dew points and no strong warm advection. This setup explains the market’s heavy weighting on 30–31°C outcomes as traders incorporate the latest stable forecast guidance ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,323Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF runs points to mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds over Milan on August 31, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 31°C. High-pressure dominance with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk (under 10% in most guidance) allows efficient solar insolation during peak afternoon hours, consistent with late-August Po Valley climatology where clear conditions often push maxima 2–4°C above seasonal norms around 28–29°C. Latest deterministic outputs cluster between 30–32°C, with ensemble spreads indicating limited upside beyond 32°C due to modest dew points and no strong warm advection. This setup explains the market’s heavy weighting on 30–31°C outcomes as traders incorporate the latest stable forecast guidance ahead of final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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