Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ICON, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 31 most likely between 23–25°C under westerly flow with scattered showers and partial clearing by afternoon. This positions 25°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus at 45% implied probability, closely followed by 24°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature predictions two days ahead. Historical climatology for late August shows an average high near 22°C, so the current setup represents modestly above-normal conditions without extremes. New model runs expected overnight will further constrain resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 31. August?
25°C 45%
26°C 28%
24°C 26%
23°C 22%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
22%
24°C
26%
25°C
45%
26°C
24%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
4%
25°C 45%
26°C 28%
24°C 26%
23°C 22%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$20 Vol.
45%
26°C
$33 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
7%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ICON, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 31 most likely between 23–25°C under westerly flow with scattered showers and partial clearing by afternoon. This positions 25°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus at 45% implied probability, closely followed by 24°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature predictions two days ahead. Historical climatology for late August shows an average high near 22°C, so the current setup represents modestly above-normal conditions without extremes. New model runs expected overnight will further constrain resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$53Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ICON, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 31 most likely between 23–25°C under westerly flow with scattered showers and partial clearing by afternoon. This positions 25°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus at 45% implied probability, closely followed by 24°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature predictions two days ahead. Historical climatology for late August shows an average high near 22°C, so the current setup represents modestly above-normal conditions without extremes. New model runs expected overnight will further constrain resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$53Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ICON, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 31 most likely between 23–25°C under westerly flow with scattered showers and partial clearing by afternoon. This positions 25°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus at 45% implied probability, closely followed by 24°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature predictions two days ahead. Historical climatology for late August shows an average high near 22°C, so the current setup represents modestly above-normal conditions without extremes. New model runs expected overnight will further constrain resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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