**Trader sentiment for Wellington’s highest temperature on August 29 centers on a 14–16 °C range, with 15 °C holding a 69.5 % market-implied probability.** Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate northerly to northwesterly winds will advect milder maritime air over the region after today’s front clears, supporting daytime temperatures near 14–15 °C under mostly sunny skies. Historical climatology for late August places average highs around 13 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the wind direction and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble consistency across runs, combined with the short lead time to resolution, keeps lower and higher outliers at minimal probabilities while reinforcing the central outcome. Updated official forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final data point for any late shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 29. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 29. August?
15°C 69%
14°C 16%
16°C 15%
17°C 3%
NEU
$29,035 Vol.
NEU
$29,035 Vol.
29. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
16%
15°C
69%
16°C
15%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 69%
14°C 16%
16°C 15%
17°C 3%
NEU
$29,035 Vol.
NEU
$29,035 Vol.
29. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
$900 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,860 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,050 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$6,670 Vol.
16%
15°C
$5,122 Vol.
69%
16°C
$4,410 Vol.
15%
17°C
$3,768 Vol.
3%
18°C
$3,558 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$196 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington’s highest temperature on August 29 centers on a 14–16 °C range, with 15 °C holding a 69.5 % market-implied probability.** Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate northerly to northwesterly winds will advect milder maritime air over the region after today’s front clears, supporting daytime temperatures near 14–15 °C under mostly sunny skies. Historical climatology for late August places average highs around 13 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the wind direction and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble consistency across runs, combined with the short lead time to resolution, keeps lower and higher outliers at minimal probabilities while reinforcing the central outcome. Updated official forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final data point for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$29,035Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington’s highest temperature on August 29 centers on a 14–16 °C range, with 15 °C holding a 69.5 % market-implied probability.** Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate northerly to northwesterly winds will advect milder maritime air over the region after today’s front clears, supporting daytime temperatures near 14–15 °C under mostly sunny skies. Historical climatology for late August places average highs around 13 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the wind direction and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble consistency across runs, combined with the short lead time to resolution, keeps lower and higher outliers at minimal probabilities while reinforcing the central outcome. Updated official forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final data point for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$29,035Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Wellington’s highest temperature on August 29 centers on a 14–16 °C range, with 15 °C holding a 69.5 % market-implied probability.** Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate northerly to northwesterly winds will advect milder maritime air over the region after today’s front clears, supporting daytime temperatures near 14–15 °C under mostly sunny skies. Historical climatology for late August places average highs around 13 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the wind direction and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble consistency across runs, combined with the short lead time to resolution, keeps lower and higher outliers at minimal probabilities while reinforcing the central outcome. Updated official forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final data point for any late shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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