**Persistent heavy rain and extensive cloud cover from an incoming weather system are suppressing daytime heating in Guangzhou, driving the market-implied odds toward a peak of 29–31°C on August 30.** Multiple forecasts, including those from WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate highs near 29–30°C (around 84–86°F) amid 80–100% precipitation chances and thunderstorms, a notable drop from the prior day’s ~34°C readings. This aligns with historical August averages of 33°C but reflects current model consensus on reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from widespread convective activity. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around these values because forecast model spreads remain modest for this short-term horizon, though minor shifts in timing or intensity of the rain could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. The market thus prices the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of official guidance rather than climatological norms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 30. August?
30°C 28%
31°C 25%
29°C 20.2%
32°C 14%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
27°C oder weniger
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
20%
30°C
28%
31°C
25%
32°C
14%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder höher
1%
30°C 28%
31°C 25%
29°C 20.2%
32°C 14%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
27°C oder weniger
$65 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,178 Vol.
4%
29°C
$627 Vol.
20%
30°C
$1,489 Vol.
28%
31°C
$432 Vol.
25%
32°C
$1,006 Vol.
14%
33°C
$412 Vol.
5%
34°C
$626 Vol.
3%
35°C
$816 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$460 Vol.
<1%
37°C oder höher
$313 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent heavy rain and extensive cloud cover from an incoming weather system are suppressing daytime heating in Guangzhou, driving the market-implied odds toward a peak of 29–31°C on August 30.** Multiple forecasts, including those from WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate highs near 29–30°C (around 84–86°F) amid 80–100% precipitation chances and thunderstorms, a notable drop from the prior day’s ~34°C readings. This aligns with historical August averages of 33°C but reflects current model consensus on reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from widespread convective activity. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around these values because forecast model spreads remain modest for this short-term horizon, though minor shifts in timing or intensity of the rain could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. The market thus prices the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of official guidance rather than climatological norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$7,425Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent heavy rain and extensive cloud cover from an incoming weather system are suppressing daytime heating in Guangzhou, driving the market-implied odds toward a peak of 29–31°C on August 30.** Multiple forecasts, including those from WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate highs near 29–30°C (around 84–86°F) amid 80–100% precipitation chances and thunderstorms, a notable drop from the prior day’s ~34°C readings. This aligns with historical August averages of 33°C but reflects current model consensus on reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from widespread convective activity. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around these values because forecast model spreads remain modest for this short-term horizon, though minor shifts in timing or intensity of the rain could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. The market thus prices the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of official guidance rather than climatological norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,425Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent heavy rain and extensive cloud cover from an incoming weather system are suppressing daytime heating in Guangzhou, driving the market-implied odds toward a peak of 29–31°C on August 30.** Multiple forecasts, including those from WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate highs near 29–30°C (around 84–86°F) amid 80–100% precipitation chances and thunderstorms, a notable drop from the prior day’s ~34°C readings. This aligns with historical August averages of 33°C but reflects current model consensus on reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from widespread convective activity. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around these values because forecast model spreads remain modest for this short-term horizon, though minor shifts in timing or intensity of the rain could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. The market thus prices the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of official guidance rather than climatological norms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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