Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and regional analyses, indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Guangzhou on August 30 amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and expected thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns, favor the market's leading 27°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability by suppressing drops below seasonal norms of ~25°C. Persistent moisture and weak steering winds reduce the likelihood of clearer skies that could allow cooler readings near 25°C or below, while the elevated 32°C+ probability at 31% reflects uncertainty if rainfall is lighter than projected. New model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies in the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria based on verified station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 30. August?
32°C or higher 70%
27°C 51%
23°C 49%
30°C 49%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
42%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
49%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
70%
32°C or higher 70%
27°C 51%
23°C 49%
30°C 49%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$16 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$16 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$19 Vol.
42%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$10 Vol.
49%
31°C
$5 Vol.
18%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and regional analyses, indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Guangzhou on August 30 amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and expected thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns, favor the market's leading 27°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability by suppressing drops below seasonal norms of ~25°C. Persistent moisture and weak steering winds reduce the likelihood of clearer skies that could allow cooler readings near 25°C or below, while the elevated 32°C+ probability at 31% reflects uncertainty if rainfall is lighter than projected. New model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies in the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria based on verified station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$71Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and regional analyses, indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Guangzhou on August 30 amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and expected thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns, favor the market's leading 27°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability by suppressing drops below seasonal norms of ~25°C. Persistent moisture and weak steering winds reduce the likelihood of clearer skies that could allow cooler readings near 25°C or below, while the elevated 32°C+ probability at 31% reflects uncertainty if rainfall is lighter than projected. New model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies in the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria based on verified station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$71Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and regional analyses, indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Guangzhou on August 30 amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and expected thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns, favor the market's leading 27°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability by suppressing drops below seasonal norms of ~25°C. Persistent moisture and weak steering winds reduce the likelihood of clearer skies that could allow cooler readings near 25°C or below, while the elevated 32°C+ probability at 31% reflects uncertainty if rainfall is lighter than projected. New model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies in the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria based on verified station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen