Ensemble weather models show a stable subtropical high-pressure system over southern China sustaining typical late-summer conditions, driving trader consensus toward 25–26 °C as the most likely minimum temperature in Guangzhou on August 31. Subtle differences in projected nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and light wind regimes explain the tight clustering between leading outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and regional numerical guidance in the coming 24–48 hours will likely narrow uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 31. August?
31°C or higher 51%
21°C or below 49%
29°C 49%
23°C 47%
21°C or below
49%
22°C
35%
23°C
47%
24°C
37%
25°C
34%
26°C
42%
27°C
26%
28°C
47%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
51%
31°C or higher 51%
21°C or below 49%
29°C 49%
23°C 47%
21°C or below
49%
22°C
35%
23°C
47%
24°C
37%
25°C
34%
26°C
42%
27°C
26%
28°C
47%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
51%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models show a stable subtropical high-pressure system over southern China sustaining typical late-summer conditions, driving trader consensus toward 25–26 °C as the most likely minimum temperature in Guangzhou on August 31. Subtle differences in projected nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and light wind regimes explain the tight clustering between leading outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and regional numerical guidance in the coming 24–48 hours will likely narrow uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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