Recent model consensus from sources including ilMeteo.it and European guidance points to a maximum temperature near 29–30°C in Milan on August 29 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and low precipitation chances. This setup favors moderate daytime heating without strong subsidence or advection of hotter air masses, consistent with late-August climatology for the Po Valley. The market’s concentration of implied probability on 30°C (44%) and 29°C (32.5%) closely tracks these outputs, while lower odds on 31–33°C or below 28°C reflect remaining ensemble spread and potential for minor timing or cloud-cover adjustments. New high-resolution runs and official updates expected within the next 24–48 hours will further refine the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 29. August?
30°C 45%
29°C 32%
28°C 11%
27°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
10%
28°C
11%
29°C
32%
30°C
45%
31°C
4%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
5%
30°C 45%
29°C 32%
28°C 11%
27°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
10%
28°C
11%
29°C
32%
30°C
45%
31°C
4%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including ilMeteo.it and European guidance points to a maximum temperature near 29–30°C in Milan on August 29 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and low precipitation chances. This setup favors moderate daytime heating without strong subsidence or advection of hotter air masses, consistent with late-August climatology for the Po Valley. The market’s concentration of implied probability on 30°C (44%) and 29°C (32.5%) closely tracks these outputs, while lower odds on 31–33°C or below 28°C reflect remaining ensemble spread and potential for minor timing or cloud-cover adjustments. New high-resolution runs and official updates expected within the next 24–48 hours will further refine the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen