Forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles currently project overnight lows of 12–15°C in Mexico City for August 31, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds. High-altitude location at roughly 2,240 meters promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, especially amid the rainy season's variable cloud cover and convective activity, which can either trap heat or enhance cooling through evaporative effects. Recent observations show minima near seasonal averages of 12–13°C, with trader sentiment reflecting modest uncertainty from potential shifts in steering winds, precipitation timing, or clearer-sky episodes that could dip readings lower or hold them higher. Updated model runs and local station data ahead of the date remain key variables for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 31. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 31. August?
7°C oder weniger 53%
10°C 48%
11°C 48%
16°C 48%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
7°C oder weniger
53%
8°C
11%
9°C
17%
10°C
48%
11°C
48%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
48%
17°C oder höher
47%
7°C oder weniger 53%
10°C 48%
11°C 48%
16°C 48%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
7°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
53%
8°C
$0 Vol.
11%
9°C
$0 Vol.
17%
10°C
$0 Vol.
48%
11°C
$0 Vol.
48%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
48%
17°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles currently project overnight lows of 12–15°C in Mexico City for August 31, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds. High-altitude location at roughly 2,240 meters promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, especially amid the rainy season's variable cloud cover and convective activity, which can either trap heat or enhance cooling through evaporative effects. Recent observations show minima near seasonal averages of 12–13°C, with trader sentiment reflecting modest uncertainty from potential shifts in steering winds, precipitation timing, or clearer-sky episodes that could dip readings lower or hold them higher. Updated model runs and local station data ahead of the date remain key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles currently project overnight lows of 12–15°C in Mexico City for August 31, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds. High-altitude location at roughly 2,240 meters promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, especially amid the rainy season's variable cloud cover and convective activity, which can either trap heat or enhance cooling through evaporative effects. Recent observations show minima near seasonal averages of 12–13°C, with trader sentiment reflecting modest uncertainty from potential shifts in steering winds, precipitation timing, or clearer-sky episodes that could dip readings lower or hold them higher. Updated model runs and local station data ahead of the date remain key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles currently project overnight lows of 12–15°C in Mexico City for August 31, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those thresholds. High-altitude location at roughly 2,240 meters promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, especially amid the rainy season's variable cloud cover and convective activity, which can either trap heat or enhance cooling through evaporative effects. Recent observations show minima near seasonal averages of 12–13°C, with trader sentiment reflecting modest uncertainty from potential shifts in steering winds, precipitation timing, or clearer-sky episodes that could dip readings lower or hold them higher. Updated model runs and local station data ahead of the date remain key variables for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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