Recent forecast consensus from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau points to a maximum temperature of 31–32°C on August 30, with cloud cover, light rain or thunderstorms, and southeasterly winds expected to moderate peak heating. Model runs cluster tightly in this range due to seasonal late-summer conditions featuring high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that often caps daily highs near 32°C historically. Minor variations in timing of any showers or exact insolation could shift the outcome by 1°C, sustaining the near-even split in trader probabilities between the two leading bins while rendering outcomes outside 30–33°C improbable under current guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 30. August?
31°C 52%
32°C 43%
30°C 5%
33°C 4%
NEU
$12,036 Vol.
NEU
$12,036 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
52%
32°C
43%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
32°C 43%
30°C 5%
33°C 4%
NEU
$12,036 Vol.
NEU
$12,036 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$241 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$653 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,945 Vol.
5%
31°C
$3,141 Vol.
52%
32°C
$2,099 Vol.
43%
33°C
$1,882 Vol.
4%
34°C
$1,061 Vol.
2%
35°C
$422 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$233 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau points to a maximum temperature of 31–32°C on August 30, with cloud cover, light rain or thunderstorms, and southeasterly winds expected to moderate peak heating. Model runs cluster tightly in this range due to seasonal late-summer conditions featuring high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that often caps daily highs near 32°C historically. Minor variations in timing of any showers or exact insolation could shift the outcome by 1°C, sustaining the near-even split in trader probabilities between the two leading bins while rendering outcomes outside 30–33°C improbable under current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$12,036Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau points to a maximum temperature of 31–32°C on August 30, with cloud cover, light rain or thunderstorms, and southeasterly winds expected to moderate peak heating. Model runs cluster tightly in this range due to seasonal late-summer conditions featuring high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that often caps daily highs near 32°C historically. Minor variations in timing of any showers or exact insolation could shift the outcome by 1°C, sustaining the near-even split in trader probabilities between the two leading bins while rendering outcomes outside 30–33°C improbable under current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,036Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from sources including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau points to a maximum temperature of 31–32°C on August 30, with cloud cover, light rain or thunderstorms, and southeasterly winds expected to moderate peak heating. Model runs cluster tightly in this range due to seasonal late-summer conditions featuring high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that often caps daily highs near 32°C historically. Minor variations in timing of any showers or exact insolation could shift the outcome by 1°C, sustaining the near-even split in trader probabilities between the two leading bins while rendering outcomes outside 30–33°C improbable under current guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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