Recent forecasts from multiple models point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, yielding a minimum near 27°C for Shanghai on August 30. Persistent southeast flow and high humidity have limited diurnal temperature swings in recent days, with observed lows of 27–28°C from August 27–28. These conditions align with the 61.5% market-implied probability for 27°C and 34% for 28°C, while the low odds for 26°C or below reflect the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms such as clear skies or northerly winds. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will determine any final adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 30. August?
27°C 62%
28°C 34%
25°C 3%
26°C 3%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
62%
28°C
34%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 62%
28°C 34%
25°C 3%
26°C 3%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$270 Vol.
3%
27°C
$359 Vol.
62%
28°C
$211 Vol.
34%
29°C
$58 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$21 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, yielding a minimum near 27°C for Shanghai on August 30. Persistent southeast flow and high humidity have limited diurnal temperature swings in recent days, with observed lows of 27–28°C from August 27–28. These conditions align with the 61.5% market-implied probability for 27°C and 34% for 28°C, while the low odds for 26°C or below reflect the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms such as clear skies or northerly winds. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will determine any final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$944Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, yielding a minimum near 27°C for Shanghai on August 30. Persistent southeast flow and high humidity have limited diurnal temperature swings in recent days, with observed lows of 27–28°C from August 27–28. These conditions align with the 61.5% market-implied probability for 27°C and 34% for 28°C, while the low odds for 26°C or below reflect the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms such as clear skies or northerly winds. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will determine any final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$944Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, yielding a minimum near 27°C for Shanghai on August 30. Persistent southeast flow and high humidity have limited diurnal temperature swings in recent days, with observed lows of 27–28°C from August 27–28. These conditions align with the 61.5% market-implied probability for 27°C and 34% for 28°C, while the low odds for 26°C or below reflect the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms such as clear skies or northerly winds. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will determine any final adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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