Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate Sao Paulo overnight lows near 20–22°C on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure, consistent with late-winter climatology but above the seasonal average minimum of roughly 12°C. Trader sentiment reflects model spread and potential for localized radiational cooling or urban heat-island effects that could push readings into the high teens, supporting the near-even distribution across 17°C-or-below through 20°C outcomes. Recent persistence of above-average warmth through late August has kept probabilities from concentrating on lower thresholds, while upcoming overnight observations and any late adjustments in steering patterns remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 30. August?
26°C 44%
25°C 43%
27°C oder höher 39%
17°C oder weniger 38%
17°C oder weniger
38%
18°C
29%
19°C
32%
20°C
27%
21°C
24%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
14%
25°C
43%
26°C
44%
27°C oder höher
39%
26°C 44%
25°C 43%
27°C oder höher 39%
17°C oder weniger 38%
17°C oder weniger
38%
18°C
29%
19°C
32%
20°C
27%
21°C
24%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
14%
25°C
43%
26°C
44%
27°C oder höher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate Sao Paulo overnight lows near 20–22°C on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure, consistent with late-winter climatology but above the seasonal average minimum of roughly 12°C. Trader sentiment reflects model spread and potential for localized radiational cooling or urban heat-island effects that could push readings into the high teens, supporting the near-even distribution across 17°C-or-below through 20°C outcomes. Recent persistence of above-average warmth through late August has kept probabilities from concentrating on lower thresholds, while upcoming overnight observations and any late adjustments in steering patterns remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen