**Forecast models from sources like Climatempo, Met Office, and local Brazilian weather services indicate the overnight low for São Paulo on August 29, 2026, will likely bottom out between 20–22°C.** This stems from clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and elevated dew points near 14–17°C that limit radiative cooling after a hot afternoon peaking near 30–35°C. August climatology normally features morning lows around 12°C, but persistent warm advection and the absence of a strong cold front—expected only after September 1—have kept temperatures elevated. Hourly data show the coldest readings clustered around dawn near 21°C, with minimal variation across urban stations. Market-implied odds heavily favor 22°C (68.5%) followed by 21°C and 20°C, reflecting consensus on these model outputs rather than any outlier cold scenario. Updated runs and real-time observations through the evening will determine final resolution, but current atmospheric conditions strongly support this narrow range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 29. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 29. August?
22°C 97%
18°C 1%
19°C 1%
13°C oder weniger <1%
$1,515 Vol.
$1,515 Vol.
29. Aug. 2026
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
29%
21°C
38%
22°C
78%
23°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 97%
18°C 1%
19°C 1%
13°C oder weniger <1%
$1,515 Vol.
$1,515 Vol.
29. Aug. 2026
13°C oder weniger
$56 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$111 Vol.
1%
19°C
$115 Vol.
1%
20°C
$156 Vol.
29%
21°C
$28 Vol.
38%
22°C
$197 Vol.
78%
23°C oder höher
$290 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like Climatempo, Met Office, and local Brazilian weather services indicate the overnight low for São Paulo on August 29, 2026, will likely bottom out between 20–22°C.** This stems from clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and elevated dew points near 14–17°C that limit radiative cooling after a hot afternoon peaking near 30–35°C.
August climatology normally features morning lows around 12°C, but persistent warm advection and the absence of a strong cold front—expected only after September 1—have kept temperatures elevated. Hourly data show the coldest readings clustered around dawn near 21°C, with minimal variation across urban stations.
Market-implied odds heavily favor 22°C (68.5%) followed by 21°C and 20°C, reflecting consensus on these model outputs rather than any outlier cold scenario. Updated runs and real-time observations through the evening will determine final resolution, but current atmospheric conditions strongly support this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$1,515Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like Climatempo, Met Office, and local Brazilian weather services indicate the overnight low for São Paulo on August 29, 2026, will likely bottom out between 20–22°C.** This stems from clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and elevated dew points near 14–17°C that limit radiative cooling after a hot afternoon peaking near 30–35°C.
August climatology normally features morning lows around 12°C, but persistent warm advection and the absence of a strong cold front—expected only after September 1—have kept temperatures elevated. Hourly data show the coldest readings clustered around dawn near 21°C, with minimal variation across urban stations.
Market-implied odds heavily favor 22°C (68.5%) followed by 21°C and 20°C, reflecting consensus on these model outputs rather than any outlier cold scenario. Updated runs and real-time observations through the evening will determine final resolution, but current atmospheric conditions strongly support this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,515Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like Climatempo, Met Office, and local Brazilian weather services indicate the overnight low for São Paulo on August 29, 2026, will likely bottom out between 20–22°C.** This stems from clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and elevated dew points near 14–17°C that limit radiative cooling after a hot afternoon peaking near 30–35°C. August climatology normally features morning lows around 12°C, but persistent warm advection and the absence of a strong cold front—expected only after September 1—have kept temperatures elevated. Hourly data show the coldest readings clustered around dawn near 21°C, with minimal variation across urban stations. Market-implied odds heavily favor 22°C (68.5%) followed by 21°C and 20°C, reflecting consensus on these model outputs rather than any outlier cold scenario. Updated runs and real-time observations through the evening will determine final resolution, but current atmospheric conditions strongly support this narrow range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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