Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a maximum near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under clearing skies, light easterly flow, and stable high pressure following a cooler period. Late-winter climatology places typical daily highs around 15–18°C, with limited diurnal warming expected from modest insolation and dew points near 8–10°C. Model consensus shows little intensification potential, yet slight upward revisions in some runs or localized urban heat effects keep the 19–21°C range as the market focus, reflecting trader assessment of forecast spread and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 29. August?
20°C 42%
19°C 24%
21°C 21%
18°C 7%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
24%
20°C
42%
21°C
21%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 42%
19°C 24%
21°C 21%
18°C 7%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
24%
20°C
42%
21°C
21%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a maximum near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under clearing skies, light easterly flow, and stable high pressure following a cooler period. Late-winter climatology places typical daily highs around 15–18°C, with limited diurnal warming expected from modest insolation and dew points near 8–10°C. Model consensus shows little intensification potential, yet slight upward revisions in some runs or localized urban heat effects keep the 19–21°C range as the market focus, reflecting trader assessment of forecast spread and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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