Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, fueled by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon with medium potential to develop into a tropical depression, dominates conditions for Manila on August 30. This pattern brings persistent cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rainfall, and southwesterly winds, limiting surface heating and capping daily maxima. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs indicate highs most likely in the 27–30°C range amid widespread thunderstorms, consistent with historical August monsoon suppression relative to the ~31°C seasonal baseline. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C because small differences in rain timing, convective breaks, or wind-driven mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while the moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds modest warming potential but is secondary to the immediate synoptic setup.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 30. August?
30°C 26%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
32°C 19%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
20%
30°C
26%
31°C
21%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C oder höher
1%
30°C 26%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
32°C 19%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
$46 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$20 Vol.
5%
28°C
$2 Vol.
13%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$35 Vol.
21%
32°C
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C oder höher
$40 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, fueled by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon with medium potential to develop into a tropical depression, dominates conditions for Manila on August 30. This pattern brings persistent cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rainfall, and southwesterly winds, limiting surface heating and capping daily maxima. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs indicate highs most likely in the 27–30°C range amid widespread thunderstorms, consistent with historical August monsoon suppression relative to the ~31°C seasonal baseline. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C because small differences in rain timing, convective breaks, or wind-driven mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while the moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds modest warming potential but is secondary to the immediate synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$143Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, fueled by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon with medium potential to develop into a tropical depression, dominates conditions for Manila on August 30. This pattern brings persistent cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rainfall, and southwesterly winds, limiting surface heating and capping daily maxima. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs indicate highs most likely in the 27–30°C range amid widespread thunderstorms, consistent with historical August monsoon suppression relative to the ~31°C seasonal baseline. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C because small differences in rain timing, convective breaks, or wind-driven mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while the moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds modest warming potential but is secondary to the immediate synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$143Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, fueled by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon with medium potential to develop into a tropical depression, dominates conditions for Manila on August 30. This pattern brings persistent cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rainfall, and southwesterly winds, limiting surface heating and capping daily maxima. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs indicate highs most likely in the 27–30°C range amid widespread thunderstorms, consistent with historical August monsoon suppression relative to the ~31°C seasonal baseline. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C because small differences in rain timing, convective breaks, or wind-driven mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while the moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds modest warming potential but is secondary to the immediate synoptic setup.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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