Latest ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF place Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 30 in the narrow 26–27 °C range, underpinning the near-even market-implied odds of 38 % and 45 %. A weakening high centered over northern Europe is allowing modest southerly advection of warmer air while increasing afternoon cloud cover that limits insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Diurnal temperature curves peak around 14–16 UTC, with small differences in low-level humidity and wind speed determining whether readings reach 27 °C or stall at 26 °C. Official IMGW station data and final model runs tonight will resolve the exact maximum, leaving traders sensitive to any late shifts in cloud or wind forecasts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 30. August?
27°C 45%
26°C 38%
28°C 10%
25°C 5%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
38%
27°C
45%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
26°C 38%
28°C 10%
25°C 5%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$261 Vol.
5%
26°C
$492 Vol.
38%
27°C
$655 Vol.
45%
28°C
$477 Vol.
10%
29°C
$151 Vol.
2%
30°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF place Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 30 in the narrow 26–27 °C range, underpinning the near-even market-implied odds of 38 % and 45 %. A weakening high centered over northern Europe is allowing modest southerly advection of warmer air while increasing afternoon cloud cover that limits insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Diurnal temperature curves peak around 14–16 UTC, with small differences in low-level humidity and wind speed determining whether readings reach 27 °C or stall at 26 °C. Official IMGW station data and final model runs tonight will resolve the exact maximum, leaving traders sensitive to any late shifts in cloud or wind forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$2,751Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF place Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 30 in the narrow 26–27 °C range, underpinning the near-even market-implied odds of 38 % and 45 %. A weakening high centered over northern Europe is allowing modest southerly advection of warmer air while increasing afternoon cloud cover that limits insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Diurnal temperature curves peak around 14–16 UTC, with small differences in low-level humidity and wind speed determining whether readings reach 27 °C or stall at 26 °C. Official IMGW station data and final model runs tonight will resolve the exact maximum, leaving traders sensitive to any late shifts in cloud or wind forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,751Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF place Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 30 in the narrow 26–27 °C range, underpinning the near-even market-implied odds of 38 % and 45 %. A weakening high centered over northern Europe is allowing modest southerly advection of warmer air while increasing afternoon cloud cover that limits insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Diurnal temperature curves peak around 14–16 UTC, with small differences in low-level humidity and wind speed determining whether readings reach 27 °C or stall at 26 °C. Official IMGW station data and final model runs tonight will resolve the exact maximum, leaving traders sensitive to any late shifts in cloud or wind forecasts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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