Recent forecast model runs for Mexico City indicate a nighttime low near 10–12°C on August 30 amid the rainy season, with scattered showers and moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Official guidance from sources such as SMN and international ensembles shows variability tied to exact timing of precipitation and local wind patterns, keeping the distribution of market-implied odds clustered tightly between 10°C and 14°C. Historical late-August climatology centers around 12°C, yet year-to-year fluctuations of several degrees remain common due to shifting moisture and frontal influences, sustaining balanced trader positioning ahead of final observational data from the primary reporting station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 30. August?
13°C 28%
12°C 27%
14°C 27%
11°C 26%
6°C oder darunter
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
25%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C oder höher
24%
13°C 28%
12°C 27%
14°C 27%
11°C 26%
6°C oder darunter
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
25%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C oder höher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Mexico City indicate a nighttime low near 10–12°C on August 30 amid the rainy season, with scattered showers and moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Official guidance from sources such as SMN and international ensembles shows variability tied to exact timing of precipitation and local wind patterns, keeping the distribution of market-implied odds clustered tightly between 10°C and 14°C. Historical late-August climatology centers around 12°C, yet year-to-year fluctuations of several degrees remain common due to shifting moisture and frontal influences, sustaining balanced trader positioning ahead of final observational data from the primary reporting station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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