Northwesterly winds are the dominant driver positioning 17°C as the leading market-implied outcome for Wellington’s August 30 maximum, as these flows advect milder subtropical air across the region amid a post-frontal high-pressure setup. Official MetService guidance and multiple international models converge on a 15–16°C peak under mainly fine conditions with only low shower risk, consistent with recent observations of 16–17°C highs during similar northwesterly regimes. Late-winter solar insolation and reduced cloud cover further support modest warming above seasonal averages near 13–14°C, though model spread and local topographic effects introduce modest uncertainty that keeps 18°C at secondary probability while capping higher outcomes below 5%. Updated forecast runs and surface observations through the evening of the 29th remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 30. August?
17°C 54%
18°C 26%
16°C 20%
19°C 3%
NEU
$13,451 Vol.
NEU
$13,451 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
20%
17°C
54%
18°C
26%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 54%
18°C 26%
16°C 20%
19°C 3%
NEU
$13,451 Vol.
NEU
$13,451 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
11°C or below
$483 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$373 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$783 Vol.
1%
15°C
$798 Vol.
2%
16°C
$4,935 Vol.
20%
17°C
$2,305 Vol.
54%
18°C
$1,882 Vol.
26%
19°C
$562 Vol.
3%
20°C
$479 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$474 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds are the dominant driver positioning 17°C as the leading market-implied outcome for Wellington’s August 30 maximum, as these flows advect milder subtropical air across the region amid a post-frontal high-pressure setup. Official MetService guidance and multiple international models converge on a 15–16°C peak under mainly fine conditions with only low shower risk, consistent with recent observations of 16–17°C highs during similar northwesterly regimes. Late-winter solar insolation and reduced cloud cover further support modest warming above seasonal averages near 13–14°C, though model spread and local topographic effects introduce modest uncertainty that keeps 18°C at secondary probability while capping higher outcomes below 5%. Updated forecast runs and surface observations through the evening of the 29th remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$13,451Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds are the dominant driver positioning 17°C as the leading market-implied outcome for Wellington’s August 30 maximum, as these flows advect milder subtropical air across the region amid a post-frontal high-pressure setup. Official MetService guidance and multiple international models converge on a 15–16°C peak under mainly fine conditions with only low shower risk, consistent with recent observations of 16–17°C highs during similar northwesterly regimes. Late-winter solar insolation and reduced cloud cover further support modest warming above seasonal averages near 13–14°C, though model spread and local topographic effects introduce modest uncertainty that keeps 18°C at secondary probability while capping higher outcomes below 5%. Updated forecast runs and surface observations through the evening of the 29th remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,451Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Northwesterly winds are the dominant driver positioning 17°C as the leading market-implied outcome for Wellington’s August 30 maximum, as these flows advect milder subtropical air across the region amid a post-frontal high-pressure setup. Official MetService guidance and multiple international models converge on a 15–16°C peak under mainly fine conditions with only low shower risk, consistent with recent observations of 16–17°C highs during similar northwesterly regimes. Late-winter solar insolation and reduced cloud cover further support modest warming above seasonal averages near 13–14°C, though model spread and local topographic effects introduce modest uncertainty that keeps 18°C at secondary probability while capping higher outcomes below 5%. Updated forecast runs and surface observations through the evening of the 29th remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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