**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Wellington of 9–11°C on August 29, reflecting a mild winter night under clearing skies and moderate northwesterly winds.** Recent observations show temperatures holding 1–2°C above the long-term August average, with strong northerlies on August 28 limiting overnight cooling through mixing of the boundary layer. Model runs indicate clear conditions overnight favoring radiative cooling, yet persistent 15–25 km/h winds and a dew point near 8–10°C should cap the drop near 10°C. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 8–12°C capture remaining uncertainty in exact timing of the minimum and local microclimate effects near the coast or hills. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 29. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 29. August?
6°C or below 41%
8°C 27%
9°C 27%
10°C 27%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
6°C or below
41%
7°C
4%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
3%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
6°C or below 41%
8°C 27%
9°C 27%
10°C 27%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
6°C or below
$16 Vol.
41%
7°C
$30 Vol.
4%
8°C
$0 Vol.
27%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$5 Vol.
3%
15°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Wellington of 9–11°C on August 29, reflecting a mild winter night under clearing skies and moderate northwesterly winds.**
Recent observations show temperatures holding 1–2°C above the long-term August average, with strong northerlies on August 28 limiting overnight cooling through mixing of the boundary layer. Model runs indicate clear conditions overnight favoring radiative cooling, yet persistent 15–25 km/h winds and a dew point near 8–10°C should cap the drop near 10°C. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 8–12°C capture remaining uncertainty in exact timing of the minimum and local microclimate effects near the coast or hills. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$102Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Wellington of 9–11°C on August 29, reflecting a mild winter night under clearing skies and moderate northwesterly winds.**
Recent observations show temperatures holding 1–2°C above the long-term August average, with strong northerlies on August 28 limiting overnight cooling through mixing of the boundary layer. Model runs indicate clear conditions overnight favoring radiative cooling, yet persistent 15–25 km/h winds and a dew point near 8–10°C should cap the drop near 10°C. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 8–12°C capture remaining uncertainty in exact timing of the minimum and local microclimate effects near the coast or hills. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$102Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Wellington of 9–11°C on August 29, reflecting a mild winter night under clearing skies and moderate northwesterly winds.** Recent observations show temperatures holding 1–2°C above the long-term August average, with strong northerlies on August 28 limiting overnight cooling through mixing of the boundary layer. Model runs indicate clear conditions overnight favoring radiative cooling, yet persistent 15–25 km/h winds and a dew point near 8–10°C should cap the drop near 10°C. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 8–12°C capture remaining uncertainty in exact timing of the minimum and local microclimate effects near the coast or hills. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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