Strong northerly winds and variable cloud cover on August 28 are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered tightly between 10–13 °C for Wellington’s daily minimum. Persistent NNW flow, with gusts exceeding 50 km/h, promotes turbulent mixing that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under the marine-influenced boundary layer, while patchy rain and overcast skies reduce outgoing longwave radiation. Official guidance from MetService and international models shows overnight lows centered near 10–11 °C, with historical August minima around 8 °C but current mild advection elevating the floor. Minor model spread in wind strength and timing of any clearing creates the narrow probability band, as even small changes in mixing depth or dew-point depression can shift the realized low by 1–2 °C before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 28. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 28. August?
10°C 92%
9°C 4%
7°C oder darunter <1%
8°C <1%
NEU
$13,698 Vol.
NEU
$13,698 Vol.
28. Aug. 2026
7°C oder darunter
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
4%
10°C
92%
11°C
47%
12°C
47%
13°C
53%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C oder höher
<1%
10°C 92%
9°C 4%
7°C oder darunter <1%
8°C <1%
NEU
$13,698 Vol.
NEU
$13,698 Vol.
28. Aug. 2026
7°C oder darunter
$587 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$172 Vol.
4%
10°C
$132 Vol.
92%
11°C
$145 Vol.
47%
12°C
$18 Vol.
47%
13°C
$1,863 Vol.
53%
14°C
$9,869 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
17°C oder höher
$249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northerly winds and variable cloud cover on August 28 are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered tightly between 10–13 °C for Wellington’s daily minimum. Persistent NNW flow, with gusts exceeding 50 km/h, promotes turbulent mixing that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under the marine-influenced boundary layer, while patchy rain and overcast skies reduce outgoing longwave radiation. Official guidance from MetService and international models shows overnight lows centered near 10–11 °C, with historical August minima around 8 °C but current mild advection elevating the floor. Minor model spread in wind strength and timing of any clearing creates the narrow probability band, as even small changes in mixing depth or dew-point depression can shift the realized low by 1–2 °C before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$13,698Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northerly winds and variable cloud cover on August 28 are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered tightly between 10–13 °C for Wellington’s daily minimum. Persistent NNW flow, with gusts exceeding 50 km/h, promotes turbulent mixing that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under the marine-influenced boundary layer, while patchy rain and overcast skies reduce outgoing longwave radiation. Official guidance from MetService and international models shows overnight lows centered near 10–11 °C, with historical August minima around 8 °C but current mild advection elevating the floor. Minor model spread in wind strength and timing of any clearing creates the narrow probability band, as even small changes in mixing depth or dew-point depression can shift the realized low by 1–2 °C before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,698Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong northerly winds and variable cloud cover on August 28 are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered tightly between 10–13 °C for Wellington’s daily minimum. Persistent NNW flow, with gusts exceeding 50 km/h, promotes turbulent mixing that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under the marine-influenced boundary layer, while patchy rain and overcast skies reduce outgoing longwave radiation. Official guidance from MetService and international models shows overnight lows centered near 10–11 °C, with historical August minima around 8 °C but current mild advection elevating the floor. Minor model spread in wind strength and timing of any clearing creates the narrow probability band, as even small changes in mixing depth or dew-point depression can shift the realized low by 1–2 °C before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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