Official forecasts from sources such as the UK Met Office and regional models project a daytime maximum of 33–34°C in Kuala Lumpur on August 30, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 46.5% and 35.5% implied probability. Typical late-August conditions feature highs near the 32–33°C climatological average, moderated by high humidity, afternoon convection, and a 30–60% chance of thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation and limit further warming. Recent August observations have included isolated peaks above 35°C, yet current guidance shows no strong ridge or suppressed convection that would favor 35°C or higher. Model consensus and the narrow timing window before resolution reinforce trader focus on the 33–34°C range while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from rain timing and local urban heat effects.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kuala Lumpur am 30. August?
33°C 47%
34°C 36%
35°C 9%
32°C 6.0%
$14,935 Vol.
$14,935 Vol.
28°C oder niedriger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
47%
34°C
36%
35°C
9%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 36%
35°C 9%
32°C 6.0%
$14,935 Vol.
$14,935 Vol.
28°C oder niedriger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
47%
34°C
36%
35°C
9%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from sources such as the UK Met Office and regional models project a daytime maximum of 33–34°C in Kuala Lumpur on August 30, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 46.5% and 35.5% implied probability. Typical late-August conditions feature highs near the 32–33°C climatological average, moderated by high humidity, afternoon convection, and a 30–60% chance of thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation and limit further warming. Recent August observations have included isolated peaks above 35°C, yet current guidance shows no strong ridge or suppressed convection that would favor 35°C or higher. Model consensus and the narrow timing window before resolution reinforce trader focus on the 33–34°C range while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from rain timing and local urban heat effects.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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