**Forecasts for the official Los Angeles high temperature (typically measured at a coastal or airport station like LAX) on August 28 center on the mid-80s, creating tight market-implied odds between the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins.** Onshore marine flow and a persistent low-level marine layer are the dominant factors moderating daytime highs near the coast, limiting warming despite seasonal warmth. Recent observations show LAX highs of 85°F on August 25 and 87°F on August 26, consistent with this pattern. Model consensus and National Weather Service guidance project a similar range for August 28, with daytime peaks most likely between 84–87°F depending on the exact timing of any marine-layer thinning or wind shifts. Slight differences among leading outcomes hinge on micro-variations in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and afternoon sea-breeze strength, which can swing the peak by a degree or two. With resolution occurring the next day, traders are weighting the latest model runs and local observations that keep probabilities closely split in the low-to-mid 80s while assigning lower odds to 88°F or higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 28. August?
84-85°F 38%
86-87°F 38%
82-83°F 11%
88-89°F 10%
$13,858 Vol.
$13,858 Vol.
79°F oder darunter
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
38%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F oder höher
<1%
84-85°F 38%
86-87°F 38%
82-83°F 11%
88-89°F 10%
$13,858 Vol.
$13,858 Vol.
79°F oder darunter
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
38%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for the official Los Angeles high temperature (typically measured at a coastal or airport station like LAX) on August 28 center on the mid-80s, creating tight market-implied odds between the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins.** Onshore marine flow and a persistent low-level marine layer are the dominant factors moderating daytime highs near the coast, limiting warming despite seasonal warmth. Recent observations show LAX highs of 85°F on August 25 and 87°F on August 26, consistent with this pattern. Model consensus and National Weather Service guidance project a similar range for August 28, with daytime peaks most likely between 84–87°F depending on the exact timing of any marine-layer thinning or wind shifts. Slight differences among leading outcomes hinge on micro-variations in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and afternoon sea-breeze strength, which can swing the peak by a degree or two. With resolution occurring the next day, traders are weighting the latest model runs and local observations that keep probabilities closely split in the low-to-mid 80s while assigning lower odds to 88°F or higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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