Tropical Storm Dolly, which briefly reached 40-knot sustained winds after forming in the eastern Atlantic, rapidly degenerated into an open tropical wave on August 28 under strong southwesterly wind shear and dry mid-level air linked to El Niño conditions. National Hurricane Center analyses show no closed circulation or organization as the remnants race westward at 22-25 knots toward the Leeward Islands, where redevelopment odds sit near zero through the next 48 hours and only 10 percent over seven days. Official guidance projects steady weakening and dissipation, consistent with model consensus and the absence of favorable steering or thermodynamic support needed for intensification to the 64-knot hurricane threshold. Trader consensus at 94 percent "No" reflects this hostile environment and short remaining window, though modest reorganization cannot be entirely ruled out if shear relaxes unusually over the western Atlantic.