Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models show Metro Manila under southwest monsoon influence with persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds through August 30, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28°C. High humidity and frequent rain reduce diurnal temperature ranges compared to drier periods, while urban effects and sea breezes add minor variability. Recent low-pressure systems east of Luzon have sustained these conditions without major cooling outbreaks. Market-implied odds spread across 23–28°C reflect model spread in exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which determine how much the overnight low can dip below seasonal norms of roughly 25–26°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain key resolution drivers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 30. August?
21°C or below 69%
25°C 50%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
28%
23°C
47%
24°C
49%
25°C
50%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
25%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 69%
25°C 50%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
22°C
$0 Vol.
28%
23°C
$0 Vol.
47%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
25%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models show Metro Manila under southwest monsoon influence with persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds through August 30, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28°C. High humidity and frequent rain reduce diurnal temperature ranges compared to drier periods, while urban effects and sea breezes add minor variability. Recent low-pressure systems east of Luzon have sustained these conditions without major cooling outbreaks. Market-implied odds spread across 23–28°C reflect model spread in exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which determine how much the overnight low can dip below seasonal norms of roughly 25–26°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models show Metro Manila under southwest monsoon influence with persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds through August 30, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28°C. High humidity and frequent rain reduce diurnal temperature ranges compared to drier periods, while urban effects and sea breezes add minor variability. Recent low-pressure systems east of Luzon have sustained these conditions without major cooling outbreaks. Market-implied odds spread across 23–28°C reflect model spread in exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which determine how much the overnight low can dip below seasonal norms of roughly 25–26°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models show Metro Manila under southwest monsoon influence with persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds through August 30, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28°C. High humidity and frequent rain reduce diurnal temperature ranges compared to drier periods, while urban effects and sea breezes add minor variability. Recent low-pressure systems east of Luzon have sustained these conditions without major cooling outbreaks. Market-implied odds spread across 23–28°C reflect model spread in exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which determine how much the overnight low can dip below seasonal norms of roughly 25–26°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain key resolution drivers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen