Persistent southwest monsoon flow over the Philippines is sustaining extensive cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows tightly clustered near 25–27 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and global model consensus indicate a minimum around 26 °C under these conditions, with only modest variations possible from exact rainfall timing or wind shifts. Traders’ near-even odds between 24 °C and 26 °C therefore reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling localized heavy rain or brief clear spells could produce before dawn on the 28th, rather than any shift in the broader synoptic pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 28. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 28. August?
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
22°C 3%
23°C 2%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
44%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
22°C 3%
23°C 2%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$35 Vol.
3%
23°C
$64 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$1 Vol.
44%
27°C
$357 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$132 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow over the Philippines is sustaining extensive cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows tightly clustered near 25–27 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and global model consensus indicate a minimum around 26 °C under these conditions, with only modest variations possible from exact rainfall timing or wind shifts. Traders’ near-even odds between 24 °C and 26 °C therefore reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling localized heavy rain or brief clear spells could produce before dawn on the 28th, rather than any shift in the broader synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$1,190Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow over the Philippines is sustaining extensive cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows tightly clustered near 25–27 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and global model consensus indicate a minimum around 26 °C under these conditions, with only modest variations possible from exact rainfall timing or wind shifts. Traders’ near-even odds between 24 °C and 26 °C therefore reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling localized heavy rain or brief clear spells could produce before dawn on the 28th, rather than any shift in the broader synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,190Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow over the Philippines is sustaining extensive cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows tightly clustered near 25–27 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and global model consensus indicate a minimum around 26 °C under these conditions, with only modest variations possible from exact rainfall timing or wind shifts. Traders’ near-even odds between 24 °C and 26 °C therefore reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling localized heavy rain or brief clear spells could produce before dawn on the 28th, rather than any shift in the broader synoptic pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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