Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions on August 31, supporting maximum daytime heating under a stable high-pressure ridge typical of late summer in central Spain. Consensus highs cluster around 32–34 °C, with the strongest agreement on 33–34 °C as the daily peak, driven by ample solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and low humidity that limits evaporative cooling. These factors explain the market’s concentration on 34 °C (54 %) and nearby outcomes, while the modest probability on 35 °C reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing or slight model spread. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 31. August?
34°C 54%
35°C 27%
33°C 17%
32°C 3%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
17%
34°C
54%
35°C
27%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 54%
35°C 27%
33°C 17%
32°C 3%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$164 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$32 Vol.
1%
31°C
$26 Vol.
1%
32°C
$138 Vol.
3%
33°C
$100 Vol.
17%
34°C
$224 Vol.
54%
35°C
$923 Vol.
27%
36°C
$96 Vol.
3%
37°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$52 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions on August 31, supporting maximum daytime heating under a stable high-pressure ridge typical of late summer in central Spain. Consensus highs cluster around 32–34 °C, with the strongest agreement on 33–34 °C as the daily peak, driven by ample solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and low humidity that limits evaporative cooling. These factors explain the market’s concentration on 34 °C (54 %) and nearby outcomes, while the modest probability on 35 °C reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing or slight model spread. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,839Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions on August 31, supporting maximum daytime heating under a stable high-pressure ridge typical of late summer in central Spain. Consensus highs cluster around 32–34 °C, with the strongest agreement on 33–34 °C as the daily peak, driven by ample solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and low humidity that limits evaporative cooling. These factors explain the market’s concentration on 34 °C (54 %) and nearby outcomes, while the modest probability on 35 °C reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing or slight model spread. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,839Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions on August 31, supporting maximum daytime heating under a stable high-pressure ridge typical of late summer in central Spain. Consensus highs cluster around 32–34 °C, with the strongest agreement on 33–34 °C as the daily peak, driven by ample solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and low humidity that limits evaporative cooling. These factors explain the market’s concentration on 34 °C (54 %) and nearby outcomes, while the modest probability on 35 °C reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing or slight model spread. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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