Recent European model consensus, including ECMWF guidance, points to clear skies and light winds over Milan on August 30, 2026, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limiting extreme drops amid moderate humidity levels near 60-80%. Official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and regional services currently indicate minimum temperatures of 20-23°C, aligning with climatological norms for late August when lows typically range 18-21°C. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17-20°C outcomes, as traders weigh potential model refinements or minor shifts in cloud cover and wind patterns ahead of resolution. Key upcoming data include the next high-resolution runs and local observations confirming the daily minimum threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 30. August?
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
20°C 50%
18°C 28%
14°C or below
18%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C
26%
20°C
50%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
16%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
20°C 50%
18°C 28%
14°C or below
18%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C
26%
20°C
50%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus, including ECMWF guidance, points to clear skies and light winds over Milan on August 30, 2026, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limiting extreme drops amid moderate humidity levels near 60-80%. Official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and regional services currently indicate minimum temperatures of 20-23°C, aligning with climatological norms for late August when lows typically range 18-21°C. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17-20°C outcomes, as traders weigh potential model refinements or minor shifts in cloud cover and wind patterns ahead of resolution. Key upcoming data include the next high-resolution runs and local observations confirming the daily minimum threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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