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icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 29. August?

Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 29. August?

icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 29. August?

Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 29. August?

Aug. 28

Aug. 29

Aug. 30

Aug. 31

Aug. 28

Aug. 29

Aug. 30

Aug. 31

28°C 90%

27°C 6%

26°C 3%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$17,658 Vol.

28°C 90%

27°C 6%

26°C 3%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$17,658 Vol.

22°C or below

$273 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$206 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$1,053 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$1,557 Vol.

1%

26°C

$2,764 Vol.

3%

27°C

$1,107 Vol.

6%

28°C

$6,755 Vol.

90%

29°C

$3,040 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$421 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$233 Vol.

<1%

32°C or higher

$249 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 28°C as the daily minimum in Hong Kong on August 29, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations show the overnight low stabilizing near 28°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea that limits radiative cooling. High humidity (65-95%) and light southwest winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical lows range 26-27°C but elevated moisture often supports values near 28°C. Clearer skies or unexpected wind shifts could allow modest additional cooling toward 27°C, though current model consensus and surface readings make that outcome low-probability before midnight.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,658
Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 28°C as the daily minimum in Hong Kong on August 29, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations show the overnight low stabilizing near 28°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea that limits radiative cooling. High humidity (65-95%) and light southwest winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical lows range 26-27°C but elevated moisture often supports values near 28°C. Clearer skies or unexpected wind shifts could allow modest additional cooling toward 27°C, though current model consensus and surface readings make that outcome low-probability before midnight.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,658
Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Verwandte

icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 28?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 28?

100%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 30?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 30?

37%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 31?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 31?

37%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 29. August?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „28°C" mit 90%, gefolgt von „27°C" mit 6%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 90¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 90% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 29. August?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $17.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 27, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 29. August?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 29. August?" ist „28°C" mit 90%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 90% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „27°C" mit 6%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 29. August?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.