Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (75-95%), and showers from a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea are suppressing radiative cooling overnight, supporting minimum temperatures near 27°C in official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30. Light southwest winds and frequent convection limit diurnal temperature swings, keeping the expected low close to recent daily minima of 26-28°C. Model consensus and climatological baselines for late August favor this range, with 28°C as the leading market outcome reflecting uncertainty around exact timing of showers and localized cooling pockets. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations on the day remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 30. August?
28°C 47%
27°C 29%
26°C 26%
25°C 4%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
23%
27°C
29%
28°C
54%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 47%
27°C 29%
26°C 26%
25°C 4%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$214 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$389 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$700 Vol.
2%
25°C
$664 Vol.
4%
26°C
$707 Vol.
23%
27°C
$708 Vol.
29%
28°C
$1,274 Vol.
54%
29°C
$1,493 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$207 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (75-95%), and showers from a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea are suppressing radiative cooling overnight, supporting minimum temperatures near 27°C in official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30. Light southwest winds and frequent convection limit diurnal temperature swings, keeping the expected low close to recent daily minima of 26-28°C. Model consensus and climatological baselines for late August favor this range, with 28°C as the leading market outcome reflecting uncertainty around exact timing of showers and localized cooling pockets. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations on the day remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$6,732Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (75-95%), and showers from a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea are suppressing radiative cooling overnight, supporting minimum temperatures near 27°C in official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30. Light southwest winds and frequent convection limit diurnal temperature swings, keeping the expected low close to recent daily minima of 26-28°C. Model consensus and climatological baselines for late August favor this range, with 28°C as the leading market outcome reflecting uncertainty around exact timing of showers and localized cooling pockets. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations on the day remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,732Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (75-95%), and showers from a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea are suppressing radiative cooling overnight, supporting minimum temperatures near 27°C in official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30. Light southwest winds and frequent convection limit diurnal temperature swings, keeping the expected low close to recent daily minima of 26-28°C. Model consensus and climatological baselines for late August favor this range, with 28°C as the leading market outcome reflecting uncertainty around exact timing of showers and localized cooling pockets. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations on the day remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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