**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and ongoing precipitation from regional monsoon influences are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Shenzhen, positioning minimum temperatures for August 29 near 26–27°C as the market consensus.** Short-range forecasts from multiple sources (including numerical weather prediction outputs) show overnight lows clustered in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius, with several models indicating 25–28°C ranges amid scattered to moderate rain and thunderstorms. High dew points near 26°C and extensive cloudiness reduce the typical nocturnal temperature drop in this subtropical location, where August climatological minima average around 25–26°C. Recent heavy rainfall episodes (exceeding 100 mm in some periods) have sustained elevated soil and atmospheric moisture, further moderating cooling. Model consensus favors these values over extremes, though slight variations in steering patterns or timing of showers could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 29. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 29. August?
27°C 53%
30°C 48%
28°C 44%
31°C 44%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
7%
23°C
10%
24°C
11%
25°C
39%
26°C
43%
27°C
53%
28°C
44%
29°C
25%
30°C
48%
31°C
44%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 53%
30°C 48%
28°C 44%
31°C 44%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
7%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
11%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
43%
27°C
$0 Vol.
53%
28°C
$0 Vol.
44%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$5 Vol.
48%
31°C
$5 Vol.
44%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and ongoing precipitation from regional monsoon influences are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Shenzhen, positioning minimum temperatures for August 29 near 26–27°C as the market consensus.**
Short-range forecasts from multiple sources (including numerical weather prediction outputs) show overnight lows clustered in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius, with several models indicating 25–28°C ranges amid scattered to moderate rain and thunderstorms. High dew points near 26°C and extensive cloudiness reduce the typical nocturnal temperature drop in this subtropical location, where August climatological minima average around 25–26°C.
Recent heavy rainfall episodes (exceeding 100 mm in some periods) have sustained elevated soil and atmospheric moisture, further moderating cooling. Model consensus favors these values over extremes, though slight variations in steering patterns or timing of showers could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$15Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and ongoing precipitation from regional monsoon influences are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Shenzhen, positioning minimum temperatures for August 29 near 26–27°C as the market consensus.**
Short-range forecasts from multiple sources (including numerical weather prediction outputs) show overnight lows clustered in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius, with several models indicating 25–28°C ranges amid scattered to moderate rain and thunderstorms. High dew points near 26°C and extensive cloudiness reduce the typical nocturnal temperature drop in this subtropical location, where August climatological minima average around 25–26°C.
Recent heavy rainfall episodes (exceeding 100 mm in some periods) have sustained elevated soil and atmospheric moisture, further moderating cooling. Model consensus favors these values over extremes, though slight variations in steering patterns or timing of showers could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and ongoing precipitation from regional monsoon influences are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Shenzhen, positioning minimum temperatures for August 29 near 26–27°C as the market consensus.** Short-range forecasts from multiple sources (including numerical weather prediction outputs) show overnight lows clustered in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius, with several models indicating 25–28°C ranges amid scattered to moderate rain and thunderstorms. High dew points near 26°C and extensive cloudiness reduce the typical nocturnal temperature drop in this subtropical location, where August climatological minima average around 25–26°C. Recent heavy rainfall episodes (exceeding 100 mm in some periods) have sustained elevated soil and atmospheric moisture, further moderating cooling. Model consensus favors these values over extremes, though slight variations in steering patterns or timing of showers could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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