Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions overnight lows in Shenzhen around 25–27°C for August 30, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 25°C. Thunderstorms and heavy rain expected through the period, driven by monsoon moisture and light variable winds, promote radiative cooling and limit daytime heat retention into the night. High humidity near 85–95% further moderates temperature swings, consistent with Shenzhen’s subtropical August climatology where average lows hover near 25°C. Model agreement on cloud cover and precipitation timing reinforces trader focus on this narrow range, with limited upside for warmer or significantly cooler outcomes absent major forecast shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 30. August?
25°C 77%
27°C 59%
26°C 52%
24°C 49%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
12%
24°C
49%
25°C
77%
26°C
52%
27°C
59%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
49%
32°C
38%
33°C or higher
46%
25°C 77%
27°C 59%
26°C 52%
24°C 49%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$16 Vol.
12%
24°C
$10 Vol.
49%
25°C
$10 Vol.
77%
26°C
$0 Vol.
52%
27°C
$0 Vol.
59%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$10 Vol.
49%
30°C
$10 Vol.
49%
31°C
$10 Vol.
49%
32°C
$145 Vol.
38%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions overnight lows in Shenzhen around 25–27°C for August 30, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 25°C. Thunderstorms and heavy rain expected through the period, driven by monsoon moisture and light variable winds, promote radiative cooling and limit daytime heat retention into the night. High humidity near 85–95% further moderates temperature swings, consistent with Shenzhen’s subtropical August climatology where average lows hover near 25°C. Model agreement on cloud cover and precipitation timing reinforces trader focus on this narrow range, with limited upside for warmer or significantly cooler outcomes absent major forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$216Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions overnight lows in Shenzhen around 25–27°C for August 30, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 25°C. Thunderstorms and heavy rain expected through the period, driven by monsoon moisture and light variable winds, promote radiative cooling and limit daytime heat retention into the night. High humidity near 85–95% further moderates temperature swings, consistent with Shenzhen’s subtropical August climatology where average lows hover near 25°C. Model agreement on cloud cover and precipitation timing reinforces trader focus on this narrow range, with limited upside for warmer or significantly cooler outcomes absent major forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$216Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions overnight lows in Shenzhen around 25–27°C for August 30, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 25°C. Thunderstorms and heavy rain expected through the period, driven by monsoon moisture and light variable winds, promote radiative cooling and limit daytime heat retention into the night. High humidity near 85–95% further moderates temperature swings, consistent with Shenzhen’s subtropical August climatology where average lows hover near 25°C. Model agreement on cloud cover and precipitation timing reinforces trader focus on this narrow range, with limited upside for warmer or significantly cooler outcomes absent major forecast shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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