Recent forecasts from sources aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance indicate persistent cloud cover, moderate to heavy rain, and thunderstorms over Shenzhen on August 31, 2026, driven by regional convective activity in the humid subtropical climate. These conditions favor overnight lows near 25–26°C by limiting radiative cooling while suppressing daytime peaks around 29–30°C, consistent with August climatology where minimums average 25°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering winds, though small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds tightly clustered between 23°C and 27°C, traders appear to weigh the stabilizing effect of widespread rain against potential clearer intervals that might allow slightly lower readings. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on verified station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 31. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 31. August?
25°C 86%
23°C 85%
24°C 80%
29°C 49%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
31%
23°C
85%
24°C
80%
25°C
86%
26°C
48%
27°C
44%
28°C
47%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
49%
25°C 86%
23°C 85%
24°C 80%
29°C 49%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
31%
23°C
$0 Vol.
85%
24°C
$0 Vol.
80%
25°C
$0 Vol.
86%
26°C
$0 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
44%
28°C
$0 Vol.
47%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance indicate persistent cloud cover, moderate to heavy rain, and thunderstorms over Shenzhen on August 31, 2026, driven by regional convective activity in the humid subtropical climate. These conditions favor overnight lows near 25–26°C by limiting radiative cooling while suppressing daytime peaks around 29–30°C, consistent with August climatology where minimums average 25°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering winds, though small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds tightly clustered between 23°C and 27°C, traders appear to weigh the stabilizing effect of widespread rain against potential clearer intervals that might allow slightly lower readings. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on verified station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance indicate persistent cloud cover, moderate to heavy rain, and thunderstorms over Shenzhen on August 31, 2026, driven by regional convective activity in the humid subtropical climate. These conditions favor overnight lows near 25–26°C by limiting radiative cooling while suppressing daytime peaks around 29–30°C, consistent with August climatology where minimums average 25°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering winds, though small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds tightly clustered between 23°C and 27°C, traders appear to weigh the stabilizing effect of widespread rain against potential clearer intervals that might allow slightly lower readings. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on verified station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance indicate persistent cloud cover, moderate to heavy rain, and thunderstorms over Shenzhen on August 31, 2026, driven by regional convective activity in the humid subtropical climate. These conditions favor overnight lows near 25–26°C by limiting radiative cooling while suppressing daytime peaks around 29–30°C, consistent with August climatology where minimums average 25°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering winds, though small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds tightly clustered between 23°C and 27°C, traders appear to weigh the stabilizing effect of widespread rain against potential clearer intervals that might allow slightly lower readings. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on verified station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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