Official NWS forecasts for August 30 project mostly sunny to partly sunny skies across New York City under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and gusts to 20 mph, supporting peak heating in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport. This setup drives the tight market balance between the 82–83°F (34.5%) and 84–85°F (29.5%) bins, as ensemble guidance shows limited temperature spread amid low precipitation odds. Afternoon cloud cover or enhanced sea-breeze effects could modestly suppress maxima toward the lower range, while full insolation and urban heat-island influences favor the higher bin; historical verification tendencies at the station give the slight edge to 82–83°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 30. August?
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 30%
80-81°F 20%
78-79°F 6%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 30%
80-81°F 20%
78-79°F 6%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
73°F or below
$236 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$12 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$20 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$208 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$544 Vol.
20%
82-83°F
$358 Vol.
36%
84-85°F
$410 Vol.
30%
86-87°F
$465 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$17 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$7 Vol.
2%
92°F or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts for August 30 project mostly sunny to partly sunny skies across New York City under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and gusts to 20 mph, supporting peak heating in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport. This setup drives the tight market balance between the 82–83°F (34.5%) and 84–85°F (29.5%) bins, as ensemble guidance shows limited temperature spread amid low precipitation odds. Afternoon cloud cover or enhanced sea-breeze effects could modestly suppress maxima toward the lower range, while full insolation and urban heat-island influences favor the higher bin; historical verification tendencies at the station give the slight edge to 82–83°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,282Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts for August 30 project mostly sunny to partly sunny skies across New York City under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and gusts to 20 mph, supporting peak heating in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport. This setup drives the tight market balance between the 82–83°F (34.5%) and 84–85°F (29.5%) bins, as ensemble guidance shows limited temperature spread amid low precipitation odds. Afternoon cloud cover or enhanced sea-breeze effects could modestly suppress maxima toward the lower range, while full insolation and urban heat-island influences favor the higher bin; historical verification tendencies at the station give the slight edge to 82–83°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,282Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts for August 30 project mostly sunny to partly sunny skies across New York City under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and gusts to 20 mph, supporting peak heating in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport. This setup drives the tight market balance between the 82–83°F (34.5%) and 84–85°F (29.5%) bins, as ensemble guidance shows limited temperature spread amid low precipitation odds. Afternoon cloud cover or enhanced sea-breeze effects could modestly suppress maxima toward the lower range, while full insolation and urban heat-island influences favor the higher bin; historical verification tendencies at the station give the slight edge to 82–83°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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