Recent northerly winds and lingering moisture from late-August rainfall have promoted overnight radiative cooling across Qingdao’s coastal plain, with multiple forecast models converging on minimum temperatures of 21–23 °C for August 31. These conditions favor the market’s leading outcome of 18 °C or below, as clear or partly cloudy skies overnight allow greater heat loss while moderate humidity limits the urban heat-island effect. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and local station observations will refine the precise minimum, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 19–22 °C range where small forecast shifts can alter resolution. Historical August lows near 22 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns support the elevated probability traders have assigned to cooler readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 31. August?
18°C or below 93%
23°C 49%
24°C 41%
22°C 27%
18°C or below
93%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
49%
24°C
41%
25°C
14%
26°C
14%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
4%
18°C or below 93%
23°C 49%
24°C 41%
22°C 27%
18°C or below
93%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
49%
24°C
41%
25°C
14%
26°C
14%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds and lingering moisture from late-August rainfall have promoted overnight radiative cooling across Qingdao’s coastal plain, with multiple forecast models converging on minimum temperatures of 21–23 °C for August 31. These conditions favor the market’s leading outcome of 18 °C or below, as clear or partly cloudy skies overnight allow greater heat loss while moderate humidity limits the urban heat-island effect. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and local station observations will refine the precise minimum, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 19–22 °C range where small forecast shifts can alter resolution. Historical August lows near 22 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns support the elevated probability traders have assigned to cooler readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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