Recent weather models and observational data position a 22°C minimum as the leading outcome for Qingdao on August 30, driven by overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover, light northerly winds off the Yellow Sea, and residual moisture from prior days' showers that limit diurnal temperature range. Multiple agency forecasts, including those from China's National Meteorological Center and international ensembles, converge on overnight lows near 22–23°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and highs around 27–28°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this consensus alongside notable uncertainty in exact clearing timing or localized wind shifts that could push readings slightly lower, consistent with typical late-summer coastal variability in the region.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 30. August?
25°C 50%
27°C 44%
28°C 44%
22°C 41%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
19°C or below
31%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
41%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
12%
27°C
44%
28°C
44%
29°C or higher
5%
25°C 50%
27°C 44%
28°C 44%
22°C 41%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
19°C or below
$6 Vol.
31%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
41%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$78 Vol.
50%
26°C
$20 Vol.
12%
27°C
$5 Vol.
44%
28°C
$5 Vol.
44%
29°C or higher
$145 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models and observational data position a 22°C minimum as the leading outcome for Qingdao on August 30, driven by overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover, light northerly winds off the Yellow Sea, and residual moisture from prior days' showers that limit diurnal temperature range. Multiple agency forecasts, including those from China's National Meteorological Center and international ensembles, converge on overnight lows near 22–23°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and highs around 27–28°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this consensus alongside notable uncertainty in exact clearing timing or localized wind shifts that could push readings slightly lower, consistent with typical late-summer coastal variability in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$259Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models and observational data position a 22°C minimum as the leading outcome for Qingdao on August 30, driven by overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover, light northerly winds off the Yellow Sea, and residual moisture from prior days' showers that limit diurnal temperature range. Multiple agency forecasts, including those from China's National Meteorological Center and international ensembles, converge on overnight lows near 22–23°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and highs around 27–28°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this consensus alongside notable uncertainty in exact clearing timing or localized wind shifts that could push readings slightly lower, consistent with typical late-summer coastal variability in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$259Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather models and observational data position a 22°C minimum as the leading outcome for Qingdao on August 30, driven by overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover, light northerly winds off the Yellow Sea, and residual moisture from prior days' showers that limit diurnal temperature range. Multiple agency forecasts, including those from China's National Meteorological Center and international ensembles, converge on overnight lows near 22–23°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and highs around 27–28°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this consensus alongside notable uncertainty in exact clearing timing or localized wind shifts that could push readings slightly lower, consistent with typical late-summer coastal variability in the region.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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