Trader consensus for Beijing’s August 28 minimum clusters around 19–21 °C because numerical models show a frontal passage and widespread cloud cover overnight that will suppress radiative cooling and keep the low near the long-term average of 20 °C. Persistent light rain and high humidity on the 27th–28th, combined with light northerly flow, limit the usual late-summer nocturnal drop, while any earlier clearing or slightly stronger winds could allow readings to dip to 18–19 °C. Market-implied odds remain tightly bunched because ensemble spreads are modest at this short lead time, with the highest probabilities assigned to outcomes that align with the current ECMWF and GFS consensus range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 28. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 28. August?
15°C or below 64%
20°C 48%
17°C 45%
19°C 40%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
15°C or below
64%
16°C
24%
17°C
45%
18°C
36%
19°C
40%
20°C
48%
21°C
38%
22°C
23%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 64%
20°C 48%
17°C 45%
19°C 40%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
15°C or below
$37 Vol.
64%
16°C
$15 Vol.
24%
17°C
$10 Vol.
45%
18°C
$0 Vol.
36%
19°C
$0 Vol.
40%
20°C
$0 Vol.
48%
21°C
$0 Vol.
38%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$26 Vol.
5%
24°C
$37 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$27 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Beijing’s August 28 minimum clusters around 19–21 °C because numerical models show a frontal passage and widespread cloud cover overnight that will suppress radiative cooling and keep the low near the long-term average of 20 °C. Persistent light rain and high humidity on the 27th–28th, combined with light northerly flow, limit the usual late-summer nocturnal drop, while any earlier clearing or slightly stronger winds could allow readings to dip to 18–19 °C. Market-implied odds remain tightly bunched because ensemble spreads are modest at this short lead time, with the highest probabilities assigned to outcomes that align with the current ECMWF and GFS consensus range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$151Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Beijing’s August 28 minimum clusters around 19–21 °C because numerical models show a frontal passage and widespread cloud cover overnight that will suppress radiative cooling and keep the low near the long-term average of 20 °C. Persistent light rain and high humidity on the 27th–28th, combined with light northerly flow, limit the usual late-summer nocturnal drop, while any earlier clearing or slightly stronger winds could allow readings to dip to 18–19 °C. Market-implied odds remain tightly bunched because ensemble spreads are modest at this short lead time, with the highest probabilities assigned to outcomes that align with the current ECMWF and GFS consensus range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$151Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Beijing’s August 28 minimum clusters around 19–21 °C because numerical models show a frontal passage and widespread cloud cover overnight that will suppress radiative cooling and keep the low near the long-term average of 20 °C. Persistent light rain and high humidity on the 27th–28th, combined with light northerly flow, limit the usual late-summer nocturnal drop, while any earlier clearing or slightly stronger winds could allow readings to dip to 18–19 °C. Market-implied odds remain tightly bunched because ensemble spreads are modest at this short lead time, with the highest probabilities assigned to outcomes that align with the current ECMWF and GFS consensus range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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