Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 25 point to a high near 69–72°F, reflecting a stable marine layer and persistent onshore flow that limits warming. This pattern aligns with typical August conditions, where daily highs average around 70°F but fluctuate based on cloud cover, wind strength, and the depth of the cool, moist air mass advected from the Pacific. Model consensus remains tight yet sensitive to small changes in the subtropical ridge or coastal stratus burn-off timing, which explains the close market-implied odds between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F brackets. Updated guidance from NOAA later today could shift probabilities if the inversion strengthens or weakens.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 25. August?
Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 25. August?
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 21%
68-69°F 10%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
63°F oder darunter
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
3%
82°F oder höher
<1%
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 21%
68-69°F 10%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
63°F oder darunter
$10 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$25 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
6%
68-69°F
$43 Vol.
10%
70-71°F
$8 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$74 Vol.
35%
74-75°F
$217 Vol.
21%
76-77°F
$22 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$100 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$59 Vol.
3%
82°F oder höher
$59 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 25 point to a high near 69–72°F, reflecting a stable marine layer and persistent onshore flow that limits warming. This pattern aligns with typical August conditions, where daily highs average around 70°F but fluctuate based on cloud cover, wind strength, and the depth of the cool, moist air mass advected from the Pacific. Model consensus remains tight yet sensitive to small changes in the subtropical ridge or coastal stratus burn-off timing, which explains the close market-implied odds between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F brackets. Updated guidance from NOAA later today could shift probabilities if the inversion strengthens or weakens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volumen
$622Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 25 point to a high near 69–72°F, reflecting a stable marine layer and persistent onshore flow that limits warming. This pattern aligns with typical August conditions, where daily highs average around 70°F but fluctuate based on cloud cover, wind strength, and the depth of the cool, moist air mass advected from the Pacific. Model consensus remains tight yet sensitive to small changes in the subtropical ridge or coastal stratus burn-off timing, which explains the close market-implied odds between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F brackets. Updated guidance from NOAA later today could shift probabilities if the inversion strengthens or weakens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$622Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 25 point to a high near 69–72°F, reflecting a stable marine layer and persistent onshore flow that limits warming. This pattern aligns with typical August conditions, where daily highs average around 70°F but fluctuate based on cloud cover, wind strength, and the depth of the cool, moist air mass advected from the Pacific. Model consensus remains tight yet sensitive to small changes in the subtropical ridge or coastal stratus burn-off timing, which explains the close market-implied odds between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F brackets. Updated guidance from NOAA later today could shift probabilities if the inversion strengthens or weakens.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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