In Panama City's tropical wet-season setting, overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and humidity drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–26°C, with 22°C as a close alternative. Persistent afternoon convection and scattered showers on August 28 limited clear-sky heat loss, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24°C baseline according to regional model runs. Light winds and high dew points further suppressed nocturnal drops, while any breaks in cloudiness or localized drainage flows could have allowed brief cooling toward the lower end of trader expectations. Official observations and updated forecast guidance released after sunset were the key near-term catalysts shaping consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Panama City am 28. August?
22°C 92%
21°C 53%
25°C 49%
24°C 2%
$12,857 Vol.
$12,857 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
53%
22°C
92%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
49%
26°C
48%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 92%
21°C 53%
25°C 49%
24°C 2%
$12,857 Vol.
$12,857 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
53%
22°C
92%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
49%
26°C
48%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...In Panama City's tropical wet-season setting, overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and humidity drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–26°C, with 22°C as a close alternative. Persistent afternoon convection and scattered showers on August 28 limited clear-sky heat loss, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24°C baseline according to regional model runs. Light winds and high dew points further suppressed nocturnal drops, while any breaks in cloudiness or localized drainage flows could have allowed brief cooling toward the lower end of trader expectations. Official observations and updated forecast guidance released after sunset were the key near-term catalysts shaping consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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