**Forecasts for São Paulo on August 28, 2026, show overnight lows near 17°C under clear skies and a dry, stable air mass, with daytime highs climbing to 30–31°C.** The tight market split between 15°C and 16°C as the daily minimum reflects modest uncertainty in the exact nocturnal minimum, driven by variations in radiational cooling rates, light wind speeds limiting mixing, and the urban heat island effect that can raise recorded lows by 1–2°C compared with rural surroundings. Official model consensus and recent hourly data cluster around 17°C early morning, but small differences in dew-point depression or localized sheltering could push the observed low a degree lower. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow scientific window between typical late-August minima and slightly enhanced cooling under the current high-pressure setup, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by INMET or equivalent stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 28. August?
16°C 70%
15°C 31%
14°C 4%
13°C 1.7%
10°C oder weniger
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
31%
16°C
70%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 70%
15°C 31%
14°C 4%
13°C 1.7%
10°C oder weniger
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
31%
16°C
70%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for São Paulo on August 28, 2026, show overnight lows near 17°C under clear skies and a dry, stable air mass, with daytime highs climbing to 30–31°C.** The tight market split between 15°C and 16°C as the daily minimum reflects modest uncertainty in the exact nocturnal minimum, driven by variations in radiational cooling rates, light wind speeds limiting mixing, and the urban heat island effect that can raise recorded lows by 1–2°C compared with rural surroundings. Official model consensus and recent hourly data cluster around 17°C early morning, but small differences in dew-point depression or localized sheltering could push the observed low a degree lower. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow scientific window between typical late-August minima and slightly enhanced cooling under the current high-pressure setup, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by INMET or equivalent stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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