Trader consensus assigns overwhelming implied probability to a 26°C low in Chongqing on August 28, reflecting China Meteorological Administration and local station forecasts of overnight cooling from incoming rainfall and a shift to cooler northerly flow after daytime highs near 36–38°C. In Chongqing’s humid subtropical regime, persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiative cooling, anchoring the minimum near the climatological August average while preventing deeper drops. Recent model runs show consistency around this threshold, with the rain event beginning that evening limiting further decline. A substantially drier or warmer-than-expected night could push the reading above 27°C, though current observational trends and steering patterns make such an outcome unlikely before official daily records close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chongqing am 28. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Chongqing am 28. August?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,101 Vol.
$25,101 Vol.
28. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,101 Vol.
$25,101 Vol.
28. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
$157 Vol.
No
22°C
$142 Vol.
No
23°C
$821 Vol.
No
24°C
$135 Vol.
No
25°C
$50 Vol.
No
26°C
$684 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$1,378 Vol.
No
28°C
$213 Vol.
No
29°C
$18,352 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,102 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$67 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns overwhelming implied probability to a 26°C low in Chongqing on August 28, reflecting China Meteorological Administration and local station forecasts of overnight cooling from incoming rainfall and a shift to cooler northerly flow after daytime highs near 36–38°C. In Chongqing’s humid subtropical regime, persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiative cooling, anchoring the minimum near the climatological August average while preventing deeper drops. Recent model runs show consistency around this threshold, with the rain event beginning that evening limiting further decline. A substantially drier or warmer-than-expected night could push the reading above 27°C, though current observational trends and steering patterns make such an outcome unlikely before official daily records close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$25,101Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns overwhelming implied probability to a 26°C low in Chongqing on August 28, reflecting China Meteorological Administration and local station forecasts of overnight cooling from incoming rainfall and a shift to cooler northerly flow after daytime highs near 36–38°C. In Chongqing’s humid subtropical regime, persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiative cooling, anchoring the minimum near the climatological August average while preventing deeper drops. Recent model runs show consistency around this threshold, with the rain event beginning that evening limiting further decline. A substantially drier or warmer-than-expected night could push the reading above 27°C, though current observational trends and steering patterns make such an outcome unlikely before official daily records close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25,101Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus assigns overwhelming implied probability to a 26°C low in Chongqing on August 28, reflecting China Meteorological Administration and local station forecasts of overnight cooling from incoming rainfall and a shift to cooler northerly flow after daytime highs near 36–38°C. In Chongqing’s humid subtropical regime, persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiative cooling, anchoring the minimum near the climatological August average while preventing deeper drops. Recent model runs show consistency around this threshold, with the rain event beginning that evening limiting further decline. A substantially drier or warmer-than-expected night could push the reading above 27°C, though current observational trends and steering patterns make such an outcome unlikely before official daily records close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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