Current forecast guidance for São Paulo on August 25, 2026, points to an overnight low near 13–14°C at the Guarulhos airport station, driven by mild wintertime high pressure, light southeasterly flow, and overcast skies that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with climatological August minima of 13–16°C while suppressing stronger drops possible under clear conditions. Model consensus shows modest spread, with any passing moisture or boundary-layer changes the main variables that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Trader positioning, with 14°C at 46% and 13°C at 27.5% implied probability, reflects this evidence-based range ahead of final station observations that will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 25. August?
14°C 96%
13°C 5%
12°C 4%
10°C <1%
9°C oder darunter
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
5%
14°C
96%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C oder höher
<1%
14°C 96%
13°C 5%
12°C 4%
10°C <1%
9°C oder darunter
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
5%
14°C
96%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance for São Paulo on August 25, 2026, points to an overnight low near 13–14°C at the Guarulhos airport station, driven by mild wintertime high pressure, light southeasterly flow, and overcast skies that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with climatological August minima of 13–16°C while suppressing stronger drops possible under clear conditions. Model consensus shows modest spread, with any passing moisture or boundary-layer changes the main variables that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Trader positioning, with 14°C at 46% and 13°C at 27.5% implied probability, reflects this evidence-based range ahead of final station observations that will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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