Recent forecasts for Mexico City indicate overnight lows near 12–14°C on August 25 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly winds typical of the rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while high humidity maintains moderate temperatures, aligning with historical August averages of 12–13°C. Model consensus shows little deviation from this range, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any partial clearing or rainfall intensity that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 13–15°C outcomes because official guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional emphasizes stable, near-normal conditions without strong frontal or subsidence signals that would produce outliers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 25. August?
9°C oder darunter 53%
14°C 50%
13°C 27%
15°C 26%
9°C oder darunter
53%
10°C
7%
11°C
24%
12°C
24%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
23%
17°C
18%
18°C
13%
19°C oder höher
13%
9°C oder darunter 53%
14°C 50%
13°C 27%
15°C 26%
9°C oder darunter
53%
10°C
7%
11°C
24%
12°C
24%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
23%
17°C
18%
18°C
13%
19°C oder höher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City indicate overnight lows near 12–14°C on August 25 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly winds typical of the rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while high humidity maintains moderate temperatures, aligning with historical August averages of 12–13°C. Model consensus shows little deviation from this range, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any partial clearing or rainfall intensity that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 13–15°C outcomes because official guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional emphasizes stable, near-normal conditions without strong frontal or subsidence signals that would produce outliers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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