Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over Poland are driving the strong market consensus around a 13°C low for Warsaw on August 27. Radiational cooling under cloud-free conditions, light easterly winds, and low humidity are promoting efficient overnight heat loss, with GFS and local models consistently projecting a minimum near 13°C in the pre-dawn hours. Official observations through evening show temperatures falling steadily from afternoon highs near 24–25°C, aligning closely with this threshold. Traders appear confident in these conditions holding, as alternative outcomes like 12°C or 14°C carry minimal implied probability amid limited forecast spread. The market will resolve on verified station data, likely from the Polish Institute of Meteorology.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 27. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 27. August?
13°C 99.5%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$2,435 Vol.
$2,435 Vol.
27. Aug. 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 99.5%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$2,435 Vol.
$2,435 Vol.
27. Aug. 2026
7°C or below
$243 Vol.
No
8°C
$372 Vol.
No
9°C
$196 Vol.
No
10°C
$211 Vol.
No
11°C
$157 Vol.
No
12°C
$246 Vol.
No
13°C
$742 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$50 Vol.
No
15°C
$60 Vol.
No
16°C
$84 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$73 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over Poland are driving the strong market consensus around a 13°C low for Warsaw on August 27. Radiational cooling under cloud-free conditions, light easterly winds, and low humidity are promoting efficient overnight heat loss, with GFS and local models consistently projecting a minimum near 13°C in the pre-dawn hours. Official observations through evening show temperatures falling steadily from afternoon highs near 24–25°C, aligning closely with this threshold. Traders appear confident in these conditions holding, as alternative outcomes like 12°C or 14°C carry minimal implied probability amid limited forecast spread. The market will resolve on verified station data, likely from the Polish Institute of Meteorology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$2,435Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over Poland are driving the strong market consensus around a 13°C low for Warsaw on August 27. Radiational cooling under cloud-free conditions, light easterly winds, and low humidity are promoting efficient overnight heat loss, with GFS and local models consistently projecting a minimum near 13°C in the pre-dawn hours. Official observations through evening show temperatures falling steadily from afternoon highs near 24–25°C, aligning closely with this threshold. Traders appear confident in these conditions holding, as alternative outcomes like 12°C or 14°C carry minimal implied probability amid limited forecast spread. The market will resolve on verified station data, likely from the Polish Institute of Meteorology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,435Enddatum
27. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over Poland are driving the strong market consensus around a 13°C low for Warsaw on August 27. Radiational cooling under cloud-free conditions, light easterly winds, and low humidity are promoting efficient overnight heat loss, with GFS and local models consistently projecting a minimum near 13°C in the pre-dawn hours. Official observations through evening show temperatures falling steadily from afternoon highs near 24–25°C, aligning closely with this threshold. Traders appear confident in these conditions holding, as alternative outcomes like 12°C or 14°C carry minimal implied probability amid limited forecast spread. The market will resolve on verified station data, likely from the Polish Institute of Meteorology.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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